With all the mortgage news coming out these days, it is important for new home buyers to distinguish between stories which primarily affect existing home owners and borrowers, and those which will impact future buyers.

As an example of the range of stories over the past week:

• Existing home sales suffered a setback in June, after showing signs of growth in May 
• The long-awaited housing bill continued to inch toward passage
• 30-year mortgage rates took their biggest jump of 2008
• Oil prices took a welcome drop from their recent all-time high

New home buyers should have a different take on these stories than the angles widely reported by the media.

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In housing and mortgage news this week:

• A survey of housing prices revealed a sharp drop in year-over-year values as of the end of April
• Existing home sales recorded a mild uptick in May

Despite the bad news/good news nature of the above developments, they are not as contradictory as they might seem. They do, however, have markedly different implications for existing home owners and potential buyers.

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A sharp jump in mortgage rates was the week’s most significant development.

• 30-year mortgage rates rose to 6.32%, largely in response to growing inflation fears
• Federal Reserve officials may also respond to the inflation threat, as they’ve begun to hint at possible hikes in the Fed rate later this year
• The grim news on the interest rate front overshadowed what otherwise would have been a bright spot, a bounce back in mortgage application activity

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Recently-released data on home sales sent mixed signals to prospective buyers:

• The S&P/Case-Shiller index of home prices in 20 major markets showed a 14.4% year-over-year decline through the end of March, 2008
• The U.S. Commerce Department reported that the number of new home sales increased 3.3% in the month of April  

While conflicting signals on housing might give home buyers reason to pause, two other developments might spur them to action:

• Revised GDP data strengthened the earlier indication that the U.S. economy avoided slipping into recession in the first quarter of 2008
• Mortgage rates broke out of a month-long holding pattern and showed hints of a possible upward trend

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In a mixed week of news, perhaps the most important outcome is that mortgage rates remained at attractive levels:

• Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke conceded there was a possibility that the economy was in recession
• A provision to give bankruptcy judges more latitude to ease mortgage terms appeared headed for defeat
• Housing sales posted a rare rise, even as prices continued to fall
• 30-year mortgage rates remained little changed for the second week in a row

As much as the above might seem a mix of good news and bad news, overall it translates to a decent environment for home and mortgage shoppers.

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Being bombarded by the constant (and mostly negative) news on the mortgage industry, many of us are viewing home purchase as a topic not for discussion; however, that approach may not be right for everyone.

The housing market has changed throughout the nation and some areas have been significantly more impacted than others. These fluctuations, on the other hand, have opened up potential opportunities to some buyers who are able to take advantage of the lower housing prices, decreased demand, and their fairly good credit score.

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